Opinion Polling For The Next United Kingdom General Election

In the run up to the next United Kingdom general election, various organisations are expected to carry out opinion polling to gauge voting intention. Results of such polls are displayed in this article. Most of the polling companies listed are members of the British Polling Council (BPC) and abide by its disclosure rules. Opinion polling about attitudes to the leaders of various political parties can be found in a separate article. The date range for these opinion polls is from the previous general election, held on 8 June 2017, to the present day. Under the Fixed-term Parliaments Act 2011, the next general election is scheduled to be held no later than 5 May 2022.

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2010 general election Opinion polls
2015 general election Opinion polls
2017 general election Opinion polls
Next general election Opinion polls

In the run up to the next United Kingdom general election, various organisations are expected to carry out opinion polling to gauge voting intention. Results of such polls are displayed in this article. Most of the polling companies listed are members of the British Polling Council (BPC) and abide by its disclosure rules. Opinion polling about attitudes to the leaders of various political parties can be found in a separate article.

The date range for these opinion polls is from the previous general election, held on 8 June 2017, to the present day. Under the Fixed-term Parliaments Act 2011, the next general election is scheduled to be held no later than 5 May 2022.[1]

Most opinion polls cover only Great Britain, excluding Northern Ireland as its 18 seats are contested by a different set of political parties.

Graphical summaries

The graph shows polls conducted for the next UK general election, including polls released by 12 February 2019. The trendline is based on the average of the last 15 polls.
  Conservative
  Labour
  Liberal Democrats
  SNP
  UKIP
  Greens

National poll results

Poll results are listed in the table below in reverse chronological order.[2] Most pollsters only include responses from within Great Britain, excluding Northern Ireland; however, some, such as Survation, do include Northern Ireland. The table below indicates whether a poll is Great Britain (GB)-only or United Kingdom (UK)-wide. The highest percentage figure in each polling survey is displayed in bold, and the background shaded in the leading party's colour. The 'party lead' column shows the percentage-point difference between the two parties with the highest figures. In the instance of a tie, no figure is shaded but both are displayed in bold.

The parties with the largest numbers of votes in the 2017 general election are listed here. Other parties are included in the "Other" column.

2019

Date(s)
conducted
Polling organisation/client Area Sample size Con Lab Lib Dem SNP Plaid UKIP Green Others Lead
22-23 Feb YouGov /The Times GB 1,672 41% 30% 10% 5% 5% 4% 5% 11%
21–23 Feb Deltapoll / Mail on Sunday GB 1,027 43% 36% 6% 4% 0% 5% 3% 2% 7%
18–19 Feb YouGov/The Times GB 1,861 41% 33% 10% 5% 4% 4% 2% 8%
18 Feb Survation/Daily Mail UK 1,023 40% 36% 10% 3% N/A 5% 2% 5% 4%
18 Feb Seven Labour MPs resign the whip to form the Independent Group[3]
13–15 Feb Opinium/The Observer GB 2,005 37% 37% 8% 4% 0% 7% 4% 2% Tie
7–11 Feb Kantar Public GB 1,145 40% 35% 10% 4% 1% 3% 4% 3% 5%
4–8 Feb BMG GB 1,503 38% 35% 13% 3% 1% 5% 5% 1% 3%
1–5 Feb Ipsos MORI GB 1,005 38% 38% 10% 4% 1% 4% 3% 3% Tie
3–4 Feb YouGov/The Times GB 1,851 41% 34% 10% 5% 4% 4% 2% 7%
30 Jan–1 Feb Opinium/The Observer GB 1,952 41% 34% 8% 4% 1% 7% 4% 1% 7%
30 Jan Survation/Daily Mail UK 1,029 38% 39% 9% 3% N/A 4% 2% 4% 1%
23–25 Jan Opinium/People's Vote GB 2,001 40% 36% 7% 4% 1% 7% 4% 1% 4%
16–18 Jan ICM GB 2,046 39% 40% 9% 3% 0% 5% 3% 1% 1%
16–18 Jan Opinium/The Observer GB 2,006 37% 40% 7% 5% 1% 7% 4% 1% 3%
16–17 Jan ComRes/Sunday Express GB 2,031 38% 37% 10% 3% 1% 6% 3% 2% 1%
10–17 Jan Number Cruncher Politics GB 1,030 41% 39% 8% 3% 1% 4% 2% 1% 2%
14–15 Jan ComRes/Daily Express GB 2,010 37% 39% 8% 3% 1% 7% 3% 1% 2%
13–14 Jan YouGov/The Times GB 1,701 39% 34% 11% 5% 6% 4% 1% 5%
10–14 Jan Kantar GB 1,106 35% 38% 9% 4% 1% 6% 4% 3% 3%
10–11 Jan Survation/Daily Mail UK 1,013 38% 41% 10% 3% N/A 4% 2% 3% 3%
8–11 Jan BMG/The Independent GB 1,514 36% 36% 12% 3% 1% 6% 5% 1% Tie
6–7 Jan YouGov/The Times GB 1,656 41% 35% 11% 4% 4% 3% 1% 6%
21 Dec–4 Jan YouGov/People's Vote UK 25,537 40% 34% 10% 4% 4% 4% 2% 6%

2018

Date(s)
conducted
Polling organisation/client Area Sample size Con Lab Lib Dem SNP Plaid UKIP Green Others Lead
18–20 Dec Opinium GB 1,945 39% 39% 6% 4% 0% 6% 4% 2% Tie
16–17 Dec YouGov/The Times GB 1,660 41% 39% 7% 5% 4% 3% 1% 2%
13–14 Dec Opinium/The Observer GB 2,016 38% 39% 8% 4% 1% 6% 4% 0% 1%
12–14 Dec YouGov/People's Vote GB 5,043 40% 36% 10% 5% 4% 3% 1% 4%
10–11 Dec Populus GB 2,002 37% 40% 7% 3% 1% 6% 3% 1% 3%
6–7 Dec YouGov/The Sunday Times GB 1,652 38% 37% 10% 5% 3% 4% 1% 1%
4–7 Dec BMG Research GB 1,508 37% 38% 12% 3% 1% 4% 4% 1% 1%
5–6 Dec Kantar Public GB 1,178 38% 38% 9% 4% 1% 5% 5% 1% Tie
30 Nov–5 Dec Ipsos MORI GB 1,049 38% 38% 9% 4% 1% 4% 5% 1% Tie
3–4 Dec YouGov/The Times GB 1,624 40% 38% 9% 5% 4% 4% 1% 2%
30 Nov–2 Dec ComRes/Sunday Express GB 2,035 37% 39% 9% 3% 0% 6% 3% 1% 2%
26–27 Nov YouGov/The Times GB 1,737 40% 35% 10% 4% 6% 3% 1% 5%
18–19 Nov YouGov/The Times GB 1,671 39% 36% 8% 4% 6% 4% 1% 3%
14–15 Nov ComRes/Sunday Express GB 2,000 36% 40% 9% 3% 1% 7% 3% 1% 4%
14–15 Nov Opinium/The Observer GB 1,213 36% 39% 7% 5% 1% 8% 3% 1% 3%
8–12 Nov Kantar Public GB 1,147 40% 39% 8% 4% 1% 3% 3% 2% 1%
6–9 Nov BMG Research GB 1,506 36% 37% 12% 3% 1% 6% 4% 1% 1%
2–7 Nov Panelbase/Constitutional Commission GB 2,016 40% 40% 8% 4% 1% 5% 3% 0% Tie
4–5 Nov YouGov/The Times GB 1,637 41% 37% 8% 4% 4% 4% 1% 4%
20 Oct–2 Nov Survation/Channel 4 UK 20,090 39% 40% 8% 3% N/A 3% 2% 3% 1%
29–30 Oct YouGov/The Times GB 1,648 41% 39% 7% 4% 5% 2% 0% 2%
26–28 Oct ICM GB 2,048 40% 38% 9% 3% 1% 5% 3% 0% 2%
24–26 Oct Deltapoll/Daily Mirror GB 1,017 43% 40% 6% 4% 0% 5% 2% 0% 3%
22–23 Oct YouGov/The Times GB 1,802 41% 36% 8% 6% 4% 4% 0% 5%
19–22 Oct Ipsos MORI GB 1,044 39% 37% 10% 4% 1% 5% 5% 0% 2%
14–15 Oct YouGov/The Times GB 1,649 41% 36% 9% 4% 4% 3% 1% 5%
11–15 Oct Kantar Public GB 1,128 41% 36% 10% 4% 1% 3% 4% 1% 5%
11–12 Oct Opinium/The Observer GB 2,010 41% 37% 8% 4% 1% 6% 3% 1% 4%
10 Oct Survation UK 1,009 40% 39% 7% 4% N/A 6% N/A 5% 1%
8–9 Oct YouGov/The Times GB 1,647 41% 37% 9% 5% 4% 3% 1% 4%
3–5 Oct Opinium/The Observer GB 2,007 39% 39% 7% 3% 1% 6% 3% 1% Tie
3–5 Oct BMG Research/The Independent GB 1,503 38% 39% 10% 4% 1% 4% 4% 0% 1%
30 Sep–1 Oct YouGov/The Times GB 1,607 42% 36% 9% 4% 5% 2% 1% 6%
28–29 Sep BMG Research/HuffPost UK GB 1,203 35% 40% 12% 4% 1% 5% 3% 1% 5%
26–28 Sep Opinium/The Observer GB 2,008 39% 36% 9% 4% 0% 6% 3% 1% 3%
26–27 Sep ComRes/Daily Express GB 2,036 39% 40% 9% 3% 0% 5% 2% 1% 1%
24–25 Sep YouGov/The Times GB 1,625 42% 36% 11% 4% 4% 2% 0% 6%
21–24 Sep ICM/The Guardian GB 2,006 41% 40% 9% 3% 0% 4% 3% 0% 1%
21–22 Sep BMG Research/HuffPost UK GB 1,006 38% 38% 10% 4% 0% 5% 4% 0% Tie
18–20 Sep Opinium GB 2,003 37% 39% 9% 4% 1% 8% 2% 1% 2%
18–19 Sep YouGov/The Times GB 2,509 40% 36% 11% 5% 5% 2% 1% 4%
14–18 Sep Ipsos MORI GB 1,070 39% 37% 13% 3% 0% 2% 5% 1% 2%
12–13 Sep YouGov/The Times GB 1,620 40% 36% 11% 4% 4% 3% 1% 4%
11–13 Sep Opinium/The Observer GB 2,011 39% 38% 7% 4% 1% 6% 3% 1% 1%
6–10 Sep Kantar Public GB 1,119 40% 35% 10% 4% 0% 5% 4% 1% 5%
7–9 Sep ICM/The Guardian GB 2,051 42% 39% 8% 3% 0% 4% 3% 1% 3%
7 Sep Survation/Daily Mail UK 1,039 38% 37% 10% 3% 1% 4% 1% 5% 1%
4–7 Sep BMG Research/The Independent GB 1,533 37% 38% 11% 2% 0% 7% 4% 1% 1%
3–4 Sep YouGov/The Times GB 1,883 39% 35% 11% 5% 5% 4% 1% 4%
31 Aug–1 Sep Survation UK 1,017 37% 41% 6% 3% 1% 7% 2% 3% 4%
28–29 Aug YouGov/The Times GB 1,664 39% 37% 10% 4% 5% 3% 1% 2%
20–21 Aug YouGov/The Times GB 1,697 40% 37% 9% 5% 6% 2% 2% 3%
17–19 Aug ICM/The Guardian GB 2,021 40% 40% 8% 3% 0% 6% 2% 3% Tie
14–17 Aug Opinium/The Observer GB 2,003 39% 38% 7% 4% 1% 7% 3% 1% 1%
14–16 Aug Deltapoll/The Sun on Sunday GB 1,904 37% 40% 8% 3% 1% 6% 5% 1% 3%
13–14 Aug YouGov GB 1,660 41% 38% 8% 4% 6% 3% 1% 3%
9–13 Aug Kantar Public GB 1,119 40% 39% 9% 4% 1% 4% 3% 1% 1%
9–13 Aug Number Cruncher Politics GB 1,036 38% 40% 8% 4% 1% 5% 2% 1% 2%
6–10 Aug BMG/The Independent GB 1,481 37% 39% 10% 3% 0% 5% 5% 0% 2%
8–9 Aug YouGov/The Times GB 1,675 39% 35% 10% 5% 7% 3% 1% 4%
3–5 Aug ICM/The Guardian GB 2,049 39% 40% 7% 4% 0% 6% 3% 0% 1%
30–31 Jul YouGov/The Times GB 1,718 38% 38% 10% 4% 6% 3% 1% Tie
20–24 Jul Ipsos MORI GB 1,023 38% 38% 10% 4% 1% 6% 3% 1% Tie
22–23 Jul YouGov/The Times GB 1,650 38% 38% 10% 4% 6% 3% 0% Tie
20–22 Jul ICM Research GB 2,010 40% 41% 8% 3% 0% 5% 3% 1% 1%
19–20 Jul YouGov/The Sunday Times GB 1,668 38% 39% 9% 5% 6% 2% 1% 1%
16–17 Jul YouGov/The Times GB 1,657 36% 41% 9% 4% 7% 2% 0% 5%
12–14 Jul Deltapoll/The Sun on Sunday GB 1,484 37% 42% 7% 3% 1% 6% 3% 1% 5%
10–13 Jul Opinium/The Observer GB 2,005 36% 40% 8% 4% 1% 8% 3% 1% 4%
10–11 Jul YouGov/The Times GB 1,732 37% 39% 10% 4% 6% 3% 1% 2%
8–9 Jul YouGov/The Times GB 1,669 39% 39% 9% 4% 5% 3% 1% Tie
6–9 Jul ICM/The Guardian GB 2,013 41% 39% 9% 3% 0% 4% 3% 1% 2%
5–9 Jul Kantar TNS GB 1,086 40% 38% 9% 4% 1% 3% 3% 2% 2%
7 Jul Survation/The Mail on Sunday UK 1,007 38% 40% 10% 3% 1% N/A N/A 7% 2%
3–5 Jul BMG Research GB 1,511 39% 37% 10% 3% 1% 3% 4% 0% 2%
3–4 Jul YouGov/The Times GB 1,641 41% 40% 9% 4% 3% 2% 1% 1%
22–27 Jun Ipsos MORI GB 1,026 41% 38% 7% 4% 1% 4% 4% 1% 3%
25–26 Jun YouGov/The Times GB 1,645 42% 37% 9% 5% 3% 3% 1% 5%
22–24 Jun ICM/The Guardian GB 2,013 41% 40% 9% 3% 0% 3% 3% 1% 1%
19–20 Jun Survation/Good Morning Britain UK 1,022 41% 38% 7% 4% 1% 3% 3% 1% 3%
18–19 Jun YouGov/The Times GB 1,606 42% 40% 9% 4% 3% 2% 0% 2%
11–12 Jun YouGov/The Times GB 1,638 42% 39% 8% 4% 3% 2% 1% 3%
8–10 Jun ICM/The Guardian GB 2,021 42% 40% 8% 3% 0% 3% 3% 0% 2%
5–8 Jun BMG Research/The Independent GB 1,490 38% 41% 11% 2% 0% 4% 2% 1% 3%
5–7 Jun Opinium/The Observer GB 2,005 42% 40% 7% 6% 1% 3% 2% 1% 2%
4–5 Jun YouGov/The Times GB 1,619 44% 37% 8% 4% 3% 3% 0% 7%
31 May–4 Jun Survation UK 2,012 41% 40% 9% 3% 1% 2% 2% 1% 1%
28–29 May YouGov/The Times GB 1,670 42% 39% 9% 5% 3% 2% 1% 3%
25–29 May ICM/The Guardian GB 2,002 43% 40% 8% 3% 1% 3% 2% 1% 3%
18–22 May Ipsos MORI GB 1,015 40% 40% 7% 5% 0% 2% 5% 0% Tie
20–21 May YouGov/The Times GB 1,660 42% 38% 9% 4% 2% 3% 1% 4%
16–17 May ComRes/Daily Mail GB 2,045 41% 41% 7% 3% 1% 3% 3% 1% Tie
15–16 May Opinium/The Observer GB 2,009 43% 39% 6% 4% 1% 4% 3% 1% 4%
13–14 May YouGov/The Times GB 1,634 43% 38% 9% 3% 3% 3% 1% 5%
11–13 May ICM/The Guardian GB 2,050 43% 40% 8% 3% 0% 3% 3% 1% 3%
8–10 May Survation UK 1,585 41% 40% 8% 3% 1% 3% 2% 2% 1%
8–9 May YouGov/The Times GB 1,648 43% 38% 9% 4% 2% 2% 1% 5%
1–4 May BMG Research/The Independent GB 1,441 39% 39% 10% 4% 0% 4% 3% 1% Tie
3 May English local and mayoral elections[4]
30 Apr–1 May YouGov/The Times GB 1,595 42% 38% 7% 4% 3% 3% 1% 4%
27–29 Apr ComRes/Daily Express GB 2,030 40% 40% 9% 3% 0% 5% 3% 1% Tie
27–29 Apr ICM/The Guardian GB 2,026 42% 39% 8% 3% 0% 4% 3% 1% 3%
24–25 Apr YouGov/The Times GB 1,668 43% 38% 8% 4% 3% 3% 1% 5%
20–24 Apr Ipsos MORI GB 1,004 41% 40% 10% 3% 1% 2% 2% 1% 1%
16–17 Apr YouGov/The Times GB 1,631 43% 38% 8% 4% 3% 3% 1% 5%
14 Apr Survation/The Mail on Sunday UK 2,060 40% 40% 9% 4% 1% 3% 1% 3% Tie
14 Apr Gerard Batten officially becomes leader of the UK Independence Party[5]
10–13 Apr BMG Research[6] GB 1,562 39% 38% 11% 4% 0% 3% 4% 0% 1%
11–12 Apr ComRes/Sunday Express GB 2,038 40% 41% 7% 3% 1% 4% 2% 2% 1%
10–12 Apr Opinium/The Observer GB 2,008 40% 40% 7% 4% 1% 5% 2% 1% Tie
9–10 Apr YouGov/The Times GB 1,639 40% 40% 9% 4% 4% 2% 1% Tie
6–8 Apr ICM Research/The Guardian GB 1,682 42% 41% 7% 3% 0% 4% 3% 0% 1%
4–5 Apr YouGov/The Times GB 1,662 42% 41% 7% 4% 4% 2% 1% 1%
27 Mar–5 Apr Number Cruncher Politics UK 1,037 43% 38% 8% 4% 1% 3% 3% 0% 5%
26–27 Mar YouGov/The Times GB 1,659 43% 39% 8% 3% 3% 2% 1% 4%
16–18 Mar ICM Research/The Guardian GB 1,642 44% 41% 8% 3% 1% 1% 2% 1% 3%
13–16 Mar BMG Research GB 1,815 38% 40% 10% 4% 0% 4% 3% 1% 2%
14–15 Mar YouGov/The Times GB 1,986 42% 39% 7% 5% 3% 3% 1% 3%
13–15 Mar Opinium/The Observer GB 2,001 42% 40% 6% 4% 1% 4% 3% 0% 2%
7–8 Mar Survation/GMB UK 1,038 37% 44% 9% 3% 0% 3% 2% 3% 7%
2–7 Mar Ipsos MORI GB 1,012 43% 42% 6% 4% 1% 2% 2% 0% 1%
5–6 Mar YouGov/The Times GB 1,641 41% 43% 7% 4% 2% 2% 1% 2%
2–4 Mar ICM Research/The Guardian GB 2,030 43% 42% 7% 3% 0% 2% 3% 0% 1%
26–27 Feb YouGov/The Times GB 1,662 41% 42% 7% 4% 3% 2% 1% 1%
19–20 Feb YouGov/The Times GB 1,650 40% 42% 8% 4% 4% 2% 0% 2%
16–19 Feb ICM Research/The Guardian GB 1,662 42% 43% 7% 3% 0% 3% 2% 0% 1%
12–13 Feb YouGov/The Times GB 1,639 40% 41% 8% 3% 4% 2% 1% 1%
6–12 Feb Kantar Public GB 2,448 39% 39% 8% 4% 1% 4% 2% 2% Tie
6–9 Feb BMG Research GB 1,507 40% 40% 8% 2% 0% 5% 4% 1% Tie
6–8 Feb Opinium/The Observer GB 2,002 42% 39% 7% 4% 1% 5% 2% 1% 3%
5–6 Feb YouGov/The Times GB 2,000 43% 39% 8% 3% 3% 3% 1% 4%
2–4 Feb ICM Research/The Guardian GB 2,021 41% 40% 8% 3% 0% 4% 3% 1% 1%
28–29 Jan YouGov/The Times GB 1,669 42% 42% 6% 4% 2% 3% 1% Tie
26–29 Jan Survation UK 1,059 40% 43% 8% 2% 0% 3% 1% 3% 3%
19–23 Jan Ipsos MORI GB 1,031 39% 42% 9% 4% 3% 2% 1% 3%
10–19 Jan ICM Research/The Guardian GB 4,117 41% 41% 7% 3% 0% 4% 3% 1% Tie
16–17 Jan YouGov/The Times GB 1,672 41% 42% 7% 4% 3% 2% 0% 1%
12–14 Jan ICM Research/The Guardian GB 2,027 40% 41% 7% 3% 1% 4% 3% 0% 1%
11–12 Jan Opinium/The Observer GB 2,008 40% 40% 6% 4% 0% 5% 3% 1% Tie
9–12 Jan BMG Research GB 1,513 40% 41% 8% 3% 1% 4% 2% 1% 1%
7–8 Jan YouGov/The Times GB 1,663 40% 41% 9% 4% 3% 2% 0% 1%

2017

Date(s)
conducted
Polling organisation/client Area Sample size Con Lab Lib Dem SNP Plaid UKIP Green Others Lead
19–20 Dec YouGov/The Times GB 1,610 40% 42% 7% 5% 4% 1% 0% 2%
12–14 Dec ICM Research/The Sun on Sunday GB 2,004 41% 42% 7% 3% 0% 4% 3% 0% 1%
12–14 Dec Opinium/The Observer GB 2,005 39% 41% 7% 3% 1% 6% 2% 1% 2%
10–11 Dec YouGov/The Times GB 1,680 42% 41% 7% 4% 4% 2% 2% 1%
8–10 Dec ICM Research/The Guardian GB 2,006 42% 40% 8% 3% 1% 5% 2% 0% 2%
5–8 Dec BMG Research/The Independent GB 1,509 37% 40% 9% 3% 1% 5% 3% 1% 3%
4–5 Dec YouGov/The Times GB 1,638 40% 41% 7% 4% 3% 2% 1% 1%
30 Nov–1 Dec Survation/The Mail on Sunday UK 1,003 37% 45% 6% 3% 0% 4% 1% 3% 8%
29 Nov–1 Dec ICM Research/The Sun on Sunday GB 2,050 40% 41% 8% 3% 0% 4% 3% 0% 1%
24–28 Nov Ipsos MORI GB 1,003 37% 39% 9% 5% 4% 4% 1% 2%
24–26 Nov ICM Research/The Guardian GB 2,029 41% 41% 7% 3% 0% 5% 3% 0% Tie
22–23 Nov YouGov/The Times GB 1,644 39% 41% 7% 4% 4% 3% 1% 2%
19–20 Nov YouGov/The Times GB 1,677 40% 43% 7% 4% 3% 2% 0% 3%
14–20 Nov Kantar Public GB 2,437 42% 38% 9% 2% 0% 5% 3% 2% 4%
14–17 Nov BMG Research GB 1,507 40% 41% 8% N/A N/A 4% N/A 7% 1%
14–16 Nov Opinium/The Observer GB 2,032 40% 42% 6% 4% 1% 5% 2% 0% 2%
10–12 Nov ICM Research/The Guardian GB 2,010 41% 41% 7% 4% 0% 4% 2% 1% Tie
7–8 Nov YouGov/The Times GB 2,012 40% 43% 6% 4% 4% 2% 1% 3%
27 Oct–1 Nov Ipsos MORI GB 1,052 38% 40% 9% N/A N/A 4% 3% 5% 2%
23–24 Oct YouGov GB 1,637 41% 43% 7% 4% 3% 2% 0% 2%
20–23 Oct ICM Research/The Guardian GB 2,022 42% 42% 7% 3% 0% 3% 2% 0% Tie
17–20 Oct BMG Research GB 1,506 37% 42% 10% N/A N/A 4% N/A 7% 5%
18–19 Oct YouGov/The Times GB 1,648 40% 42% 8% 4% 4% 2% 1% 2%
10–11 Oct YouGov/The Times GB 1,680 39% 42% 8% 4% 4% 2% 0% 3%
6–8 Oct ICM Research/The Guardian GB 2,052 41% 41% 7% 4% 1% 4% 2% 0% Tie
4–6 Oct Opinium/The Observer GB 1,225 40% 42% 5% 4% 0% 5% 2% 1% 2%
4–5 Oct Survation UK 2,047 38% 44% 7% 3% 1% 4% 1% 2% 6%
4–5 Oct YouGov/The Times GB 1,615 40% 42% 7% 4% 4% 2% 1% 2%
29 Sep Henry Bolton becomes leader of the UK Independence Party[7]
26–29 Sep BMG/The Independent GB 1,910 37% 42% 10% 3% 0% 4% 3% 1% 5%
22–24 Sep YouGov/The Times GB 1,716 39% 43% 7% 4% 4% 2% 0% 4%
22–24 Sep ICM Research/The Guardian GB 1,968 40% 42% 8% 3% 1% 4% 2% 0% 2%
22 Sep Survation/The Mail on Sunday UK 1,174 38% 42% 8% 4% 1% 4% 2% 2% 4%
19–22 Sep Opinium GB 2,004 42% 40% 6% 4% 1% 4% 2% 1% 2%
15–20 Sep Survation/LabourList UK 1,614 40% 41% 7% 3% 1% 3% 2% 1% 1%
15–18 Sep Ipsos MORI GB 1,023 40% 44% 9% 4% 0% 2% 1% 0% 4%
12–15 Sep Opinium GB 1,219 41% 41% 5% 4% 1% 5% 3% 0% Tie
12–15 Sep BMG/The Independent GB 1,447 39% 38% 8% 3% 0% 6% 4% 1% 1%
12–13 Sep YouGov/The Times GB 1,660 41% 42% 7% 4% 3% 2% 1% 1%
8–10 Sep ICM Research/The Guardian GB 2,052 42% 42% 7% 3% 3% 3% 0% Tie
31 Aug–1 Sep Survation/The Mail on Sunday UK 1,046 39% 43% 7% 3% 1% 4% N/A 3% 4%
30–31 Aug YouGov/The Times GB 1,658 41% 42% 6% 4% 4% 2% 0% 1%
25–28 Aug ICM Research/The Guardian GB 1,972 42% 42% 7% 2% 0% 3% 3% 0% Tie
21–22 Aug YouGov/The Times GB 1,664 41% 42% 8% 4% 4% 1% 0% 1%
15–18 Aug Opinium/The Observer GB 1,256 40% 43% 6% 4% 1% 4% 2% 0% 3%
7–11 Aug BMG/The Independent GB 1,512 42% 39% 7% 2% 0% 6% 3% 0% 3%
31 Jul–1 Aug YouGov/The Times GB 1,665 41% 44% 7% 3% 3% 2% 1% 3%
20 JulVince Cable becomes leader of the Liberal Democrats[8]
18–19 Jul YouGov/The Times GB 1,593 41% 43% 6% 4% 3% 2% 0% 2%
14–18 Jul Ipsos MORI GB 1,071 41% 42% 9% 3% 0% 3% 2% 1% 1%
14–16 Jul ICM Research/The Guardian GB 2,046 42% 43% 7% 3% 1% 3% 2% 0% 1%
14–15 Jul Survation/The Mail on Sunday UK 1,024 39% 41% 8% 3% 1% 6% 1% 1% 2%
11–14 Jul Opinium/The Observer GB 2,013 41% 43% 5% 3% 0% 5% 2% 0% 2%
11–14 Jul BMG Research GB 1,518 37% 42% 10% N/A N/A 4% N/A 7% 5%
10–11 Jul YouGov/The Times GB 1,700 40% 45% 7% 4% 2% 1% 0% 5%
5–6 Jul YouGov/The Times GB 1,648 38% 46% 6% 4% 4% 1% 1% 8%
30 Jun–3 Jul ICM Research/The Guardian GB 2,044 41% 43% 7% 3% 0% 3% 3% 0% 2%
28–30 Jun Survation UK 1,016 41% 40% 7% 2% 0% 2% 2% 6% 1%
27–29 Jun Opinium/The Observer GB 2,010 39% 45% 5% 3% 0% 5% 2% 0% 6%
16–21 Jun Panelbase/The Sunday Times GB 5,481 41% 46% 6% 3% 1% 2% 1% 0% 5%
17 Jun Survation/Good Morning Britain UK 1,005 41% 44% 6% 3% 1% 2% 1% 3% 3%
10 Jun Survation/The Mail on Sunday UK 1,036 39% 45% 7% 3% 1% 3% N/A 2% 6%
8 Jun2017 election (GB only)[9]GB31,384,10543.5%41.0%7.6%3.1%0.5%1.9%1.7%0.7%2.5%
8 Jun2017 election (UK-wide)[10]UK32,204,12442.4%40.0%7.4%3.0%0.5%1.8%1.6%3.4%2.4%

Polls including the Independent Group

After the formation of the Independent Group, some pollsters conducted polls of voting intention were the Independent Group to form a party and stand candidates.

Date(s)
conducted
Polling organisation/client Area Sample size Con Lab TIG Lib Dem SNP Plaid UKIP Green Others Lead
22–23 Feb YouGov /The Times GB 1,672 36% 23% 18% 6% 16% 13%
21–23 Feb Deltapoll/Mail On Sunday GB 1,027 39% 31% 11% 5% 5% 0% 4% 3% 1% 8%
20–22 Feb Opinium GB 2,008 40% 32% 6% 5% 4% 1% 7% 4% 2% 8%
19 Feb Sky Data GB 1,034 32% 26% 10% 9% 4% 1% 6% 4% 7% 6%
18–19 Feb YouGov/The Times GB 1,861 38% 26% 14% 7% 15% 12%
18 Feb Survation/Daily Mail UK 1,023 39% 34% 8% 6% 3% 1% 5% 4% 1% 5%

YouGov model

During the 2017 election campaign, YouGov created a Multi-level Regression and Post-stratification (MRP) model based on poll data. As set out by YouGov, the model "works by modelling every constituency and key voter types in Britain based on analysis of key demographics as well as past voting behaviour".[11]

Date(s)
conducted
Polling organisation/client Sample size Con Lab Lib Dem UKIP SNP Green Others Lead
2–7 Feb 2019 YouGov/The Times 40,119 39% 34% 11% 5% 3% 4% 2% 5%

Sub-national polling

Scotland

Date(s)
conducted
Polling organisation/client Sample size SNP Con Lab Lib Dem Green UKIP Others Lead
21 Dec 2018–4 Jan 2019 YouGov/People's Vote 2,19640% 25% 21% 8% 3% 2% 1% 15%
30 Nov–5 Dec 2018 Panelbase/The Sunday Times 1,02837% 26% 26% 6% 2% 2% <1% 11%
9–13 Nov 2018 Survation/Scotland in Union 1,01339% 26% 24% 8% N/A N/A 3% 13%
2–7 Nov 2018 Panelbase/Constitutional Commission 1,05037% 28% 25% 7% 2% 2% 0% 9%
20 Oct–2 Nov 2018 Survation/Channel 4 1,73440% 27% 23% 7% 1% 1% 1% 13%
18–21 Oct 2018 Survation/Daily Record 1,01736.5% 27.5% 26% 7.5% 1.5% N/A 1% 9%
3–5 Oct 2018 Survation/Scottish National Party 1,01337% 28% 26% 6% N/A N/A 2% 9%
28 Sep–4 Oct 2018 Panelbase/The Sunday Times 1,02438% 27% 24% 6% 2% 2% <1% 11%
28 Sep–2 Oct 2018 Survation/The Sunday Post 1,03641% 26% 24% 7% N/A N/A 3% 15%
5–10 Jul 2018 Survation/Daily Record 1,00242% 24% 23% 8% N/A N/A 3% 18%
21–26 Jun 2018 Panelbase/Wings Over Scotland 1,01838% 27% 25% 7% 2% <1% <1% 11%
8–13 Jun 2018 Panelbase/The Sunday Times 1,02138% 27% 27% 6% 2% <1% <1% 11%
1–5 Jun 2018 YouGov/The Times 1,07540% 27% 23% 7% 2% 1% 1% 13%
23–28 Mar 2018 Panelbase/The Sunday Times 1,03736% 28% 27% 6% 2% 1% <1% 8%
5–11 Mar 2018 Ipsos MORI/STV 1,05039% 25% 26% 6% 4% 0% 0% 13%
24–28 Jan 2018 Survation/Daily Record 1,02039% 24% 27% 7% N/A N/A 3% 12%
12–16 Jan 2018 YouGov/The Times 1,13536% 23% 28% 6% 3% 3% 0% 8%
1–5 Dec 2017 Survation/The Sunday Post 1,006 38% 24% 29% 7% N/A N/A 3% 9%
27–30 Nov 2017 Survation/Daily Record 1,01737% 25% 28% 7% N/A N/A 3% 9%
18 Nov 2017 Richard Leonard becomes leader of the Scottish Labour Party[12]
2–5 Oct 2017 YouGov/The Times 1,13540% 23% 30% 5% 1% 1% <1% 10%
8–12 Sep 2017 Survation/Scottish Daily Mail 1,01639% 26% 26% 7% N/A N/A 1.6% 13%
31 Aug–7 Sep 2017 Panelbase 1,02141% 27% 24% 6% 2% <1% <1% 14%
8 Jun 2017General election results[13] 2,649,695 36.9% 28.6% 27.1% 6.8% 0.2% 0.2% 0.2% 8.3%

Wales

Date(s)
conducted
Polling organisation/client Sample size Lab Con Plaid Lib Dem UKIP Green Others Lead
19-22 Feb 2019 YouGov 1,025 35% 29% 14% 8% 6% 3% 4% 6%
6–12 Dec 2018 Mark Drakeford becomes leader of Welsh Labour and First Minister[14]
30 Oct–2 Nov 2018 YouGov/Welsh Political Barometer 1,031 42% 33% 10% 7% 4% 2% 1% 9%
20 Oct–2 Nov 2018 Survation 1,177 47% 30% 13% 6% 3% 2% <1% 17%
28 Sep 2018 Adam Price becomes leader of Plaid Cymru[15]
6 Sep 2018 Paul Davies becomes leader of the Welsh Conservatives[16]
28 June–2 July 2018 YouGov/Welsh Political Barometer 1,015 44% 31% 13% 5% 3% N/A 3% 13%
12–15 March 2018 YouGov/Welsh Political Barometer 1,015 46% 33% 11% 4% 4% 2% 1% 13%
8–25 Feb 2018 ICM Research 1,001 49% 32% 11% 5% 2% 1% 0% 17%
21–24 Nov 2017 YouGov/Welsh Political Barometer 1,016 47% 31% 11% 5% 3% 0% 3% 16%
3 Nov 2017 Jane Dodds becomes leader of the Welsh Liberal Democrats[17]
4–7 Sep 2017 YouGov/Welsh Political Barometer 1,011 50% 32% 8% 4% 3% 1% 1% 18%
8 June 2017 General election results[18] 1,575,814 48.9% 33.6% 10.4% 4.5% 2.0% 0.3% 0.2% 15.3%

Northern Ireland

Date(s)
conducted
Polling organisation/client Sample size DUP SF SDLP UUP Alliance Others Lead
20 Oct–2 Nov 2018 Survation 555 31% 27% 11% 15% 12% 4% 4%
8 June 2017General election results[19] 1,242,698 36.0% 29.4% 11.7% 10.3% 7.9% 4.6% 6.6%

Regional polling in England

London

Date(s)
conducted
Polling organisation/client Sample size Lab Con Lib Dem Green UKIP Others Lead
21 Dec 2018–4 Jan 2019 YouGov/People's Vote 2,988 40% 35% 15% 5% 4% 1% 5%
20 Oct–2 Nov 2018 Survation 1,680 48% 34% 13% 2% 2% 1% 14%
3–7 Sep 2018 YouGov / QMUL 1,218 48% 26% 15% 5% 4% 2% 22%
3 May 2018 2018 London local elections
20–24 Apr 2018 YouGov / QMUL 1,099 52% 31% 10% 3% 2% 1% 21%
12–15 Feb 2018 YouGov / QMUL 1,155 53% 33% 8% 3% 2% 0% 20%
25–29 Sep 2017 YouGov / QMUL 1,044 55% 30% 8% 2% 3% 0% 25%
8 June 2017 General election results 3,821,233 54.6% 33.2% 8.8% 1.8% 1.3% 0.5% 21.4%

Polls of individual constituencies

Bath

Date(s)
conducted
Polling organisation/client Sample size Lib Dem Con Lab Others Lead
7–14 Sep 2017Survation/Bath Labour55546%32%17%5%14%
8 Jun 20172017 Election Result49,58247.3%35.8%14.7%2.3%11.5%

Cheltenham

Date(s)
conducted
Polling organisation/client Sample size Con Lib Dem Lab Green Others Lead
1–13 Dec 2018Populus/YouGov50549%32%15%N/A4%17%
8 Jun 20172017 Election Result57,01246.7%42.2%9.5%1.7%0%4.7%

Leadership approval polling

Preferred Prime Minister polling

Some opinion pollsters ask voters which party leader they think would make the best Prime Minister – Theresa May (Conservative Party) or Jeremy Corbyn (Labour Party). The questions differ slightly from pollster to pollster:

  • Opinium: "Which, if any, of the following people do you think would be the best Prime Minister?"
  • BMG Research: "If you had to choose between the two, who would you prefer to see as the next Prime Minister?"
  • YouGov / Survation: "Which of the following do you think would make the best Prime Minister?"
  • Ipsos MORI: "Who do you think would make the most capable Prime Minister, the Conservatives’ Theresa May, or Labour’s Jeremy Corbyn?"
  • ICM: "Putting aside which party you support, and only thinking about your impressions of them as leaders, which one of the following do you think would make the best Prime Minister for Britain?"

Theresa May vs Jeremy Corbyn

2019

Date(s)
conducted
Polling organisation/client Sample size Theresa May Jeremy Corbyn None of these Unsure Refused Lead
20-22 Feb Opinium 2,008 34% 20% 38% 8% N/A 14%
19-?? Feb YouGov/The Times TBA 39% 16% N/A 45% N/A 23%
18 Feb Survation/Daily Mail 1,021 48% 29% N/A 22% N/A 19%
13-15 Feb Opinium 2,005 30% 22% 39% 9% N/A 8%
4-8 Feb BMG 1,503 29% 22% 40% 9% N/A 7%
3–4 Feb YouGov/The Times 1,851 40% 19% N/A 39% 2% 21%
30 Jan–1 Feb Opinium 2,008 32% 20% 39% 9% N/A 12%
16–18 Jan Opinium 2,006 29% 22% 40% 9% N/A 7%
13–14 Jan YouGov/The Times 1,701 36% 20% N/A 41% 3% 16%
6–7 Jan YouGov/The Times 1,656 38% 20% N/A 38% 4% 18%

2018

Date(s)
conducted
Polling organisation/client Sample size Theresa May Jeremy Corbyn None of these Don't know Lead
13–14 Dec Opinium 2,016 30% 22% 39% 8% 8%
3–4 Dec YouGov/The Times 1,624 35% 24% 4% 37% 11%
26–27 Nov YouGov/The Times 1,737 36% 23% 3% 38% 13%
18–19 Nov YouGov/The Times 1,671 35% 22% 4% 38% 13%
14–15 Nov Opinium 2,003 30% 23% 38% 9% 7%
4–5 Nov YouGov/The Times 1,637 36% 22% 3% 38% 14%
22–23 Oct YouGov/The Times 1,802 35% 24% 3% 38% 11%
14–15 Oct YouGov/The Times 1,649 38% 24% N/A 38% 14%
11–12 Oct Opinium 2,010 33% 24% 35% 9% 9%
8–9 Oct YouGov/The Times 1,647 36% 25% N/A 40% 11%
3–5 Oct BMG Research 1,503 34% 28% N/A 38% 6%
30 Sep–1 Oct YouGov/The Times 1,607 34% 23% N/A 43% 11%
26–28 Sep Opinium 2,008 33% 23% 34% 10% 10%
18–20 Sep Opinium 2,003 33% 23% 36% 9% 10%
18–19 Sep YouGov/The Times 2,509 36% 23% N/A 41% 13%
12–13 Sep YouGov/The Times 1,620 36% 23% N/A 41% 13%
11–13 Sep Opinium 2,011 32% 23% 35% 10% 9%
4–7 Sep BMG Research 1,533 26% 25% N/A 49% 1%
3–4 Sep YouGov/The Times 1,883 34% 25% N/A 41% 9%
28–29 Aug YouGov/The Times 1,664 35% 23% N/A 42% 12%
20–21 Aug YouGov/The Times 1,697 36% 23% N/A 42% 13%
14 Aug Opinium 2,003 30% 24% N/A 46% 6%
13–14 Aug YouGov 1,660 35% 24% N/A 41% 11%
8–9 Aug YouGov/The Times 1,674 36% 22% N/A 39% 14%
30–31 July YouGov/The Times 1,718 32% 25% N/A 40% 7%
22–23 July YouGov/The Times 1,650 32% 26% N/A 39% 6%
16–17 July YouGov/The Times 1,657 33% 25% N/A 38% 8%
10–13 July Opinium 2,005 29% 25% 36% 10% 4%
8–9 July YouGov/The Times 1,669 34% 27% N/A 36% 7%
3–4 July YouGov/The Times 1,641 35% 25% N/A 37% 10%
25–26 Jun YouGov/The Times 1,645 38% 26% N/A 34% 12%
18–19 Jun YouGov/The Times 1,606 38% 26% N/A 34% 12%
11–12 Jun YouGov/The Times 1,638 39% 24% N/A 37% 15%
5–7 Jun Opinium 2,005 35% 25% 29% 11% 10%
4–5 Jun YouGov/The Times 1,619 37% 24% N/A 37% 13%
28–29 May YouGov/The Times 1,670 38% 27% N/A 35% 11%
20–21 May YouGov/The Times 1,660 37% 27% N/A 35% 10%
15–16 May Opinium 2,009 36% 23% 30% 10% 13%
13–14 May YouGov/The Times 1,634 40% 25% N/A 35% 15%
8–9 May YouGov/The Times 1,648 39% 25% N/A 36% 14%
30 Apr–1 May YouGov/The Times 1,595 37% 27% N/A 36% 10%
16–17 Apr YouGov/The Times 1,631 39% 25% N/A 35% 14%
14 Apr Survation 2,060 43% 30% N/A 28% 13%
10–12 Apr Opinium 2,008 36% 24% 31% 9% 12%
9–10 Apr YouGov/The Times 1,639 37% 26% N/A 37% 11%
4–5 Apr YouGov/The Times 1,662 39% 26% N/A 35% 13%
26–27 Mar YouGov/The Times 1,659 38% 27% N/A 35% 11%
13–15 Mar Opinium/The Observer 2,001 34% 26% 29% 11% 8%
5–6 Mar YouGov/The Times 1,641 36% 29% N/A 35% 7%
26–27 Feb YouGov/The Times 1,622 36% 30% N/A 33% 6%
19–20 Feb YouGov/The Times 1,650 36% 29% N/A 35% 7%
12–13 Feb YouGov/The Times 1,539 36% 29% N/A 35% 7%
6–9 Feb BMG Research 1,507 32% 30% N/A 38% 2%
6–8 Feb Opinium/The Observer 2,002 34% 28% 28% 10% 6%
5–6 Feb YouGov/The Times 2,000 37% 29% N/A 33% 8%
28–29 Jan YouGov/The Times 1,669 35% 29% N/A 36% 6%
16–17 Jan YouGov/The Times 1,672 36% 31% N/A 33% 5%
11–12 Jan Opinium 2,008 33% 28% 29% 11% 5%
7–8 Jan YouGov/The Times 1,663 37% 31% N/A 31% 6%

2017

Date(s)
conducted
Polling organisation/client Sample size Theresa May Jeremy Corbyn None of these Don't know Lead
19–20 Dec YouGov/The Times 1,610 37% 31% N/A 32% 6%
12–14 Dec Opinium 1,680 34% 28% 27% 11% 6%
9–10 Dec YouGov/The Times 1,680 37% 28% N/A 35% 9%
5–8 Dec BMG Research 1,50932%33%N/A38%1%
4–5 Dec YouGov/The Times 1,638 34% 30% N/A 36% 4%
29 Nov–1 Dec ICM Research 2,050 40% 32% N/A 28% 8%
14–16 Nov Opinium 2,003 34% 29% 27% 10% 5%
7–8 Nov YouGov/The Times 2,012 34% 31%N/A 35% 3%
10–11 OctYouGov/The Times 1,68033%33%N/A35%Tie
6–8 OctICM/The Guardian 2,05241%32%N/A27%9%
4–6 OctOpinium/The Observer 2,00932%29%28%11%3%
4–5 OctYouGov/The Times 1,61536%33%N/A32%3%
26–29 SepBMG Research 1,91030%32%N/A38%2%
22–24 SepYouGov/The Times 1,71637%29%N/A33%8%
19–22 SepOpinium/The Observer 2,00436%26%28%10%10%
15–18 SepIpsos MORI 1,02345%38%10%6%7%
12–15 SepOpinium/The Observer 2,00936%28%26%11%8%
30–31 AugYouGov/The Times 1,65837%32%N/A31%5%
21–22 AugYouGov/The Times 1,66437%33%N/A31%4%
15–18 AugOpinium/The Observer 1,25634%30%27%9%4%
7–11 AugBMG/The Independent 1,51232%33%26%10%1%
31 Jul–1 AugYouGov/The Times 1,66536%33%N/A31%3%
18–19 JulYouGov/The Times 1,59337%32%N/A30%5%
14–18 JulIpsos MORI 1,07146%38%10%6%8%
14–15 JulSurvation/The Mail on Sunday 1,02443%35%N/A21%8%
11–14 JulOpinium/The Observer 2,01336%33%22%9%3%
10–11 JulYouGov/The Sunday Times 1,70038%33%N/A29%5%
28–30 JunSurvation 1,01744%38%N/A19%6%
27–29 JunOpinium/The Observer 2,01035%34%23%8%1%
21–22 JunYouGov/The Times 1,67034%35%N/A30%1%
9–10 JunYouGov/The Sunday Times 1,72039%39%N/A22%Tie

Previous polling

The following graphs show UK general election polling over a period of the previous 25 years and previous 7 years.

Long-term opinion polling over the span of 25 years. This runs from the 1992 general election to the 2017 general election. The grey vertical lines mark the general elections of 1997, 2001, 2005, 2010 and 2015.
  Conservative
  Labour
  UKIP
  Liberal Democrats
  Green
All UK opinion polling since the 2010 general election. This graph covers both 2015 and 2017 general elections, but not opinion polls that have followed the 2017 general election.
  Conservative
  Labour
  UKIP
  Liberal Democrats
  Green

See also

Notes

    References

    1. "Fixed-term Parliaments Act 2011". www.legislation.gov.uk. Retrieved 2017-06-12.
    2. "Westminster Voting Intention". UK Opinion Bee. Retrieved 31 January 2015.
    3. "Seven MPs leave Labour in Corbyn protest". 2019-02-18. Retrieved 2019-02-26.
    4. "England local elections 2018". BBC News. Retrieved 2018-12-08.
    5. "UKIP confirms Gerard Batten as new leader". Sky News. Retrieved 2018-12-08.
    6. "BMG's Westminster Voting Intention Results: An Update – BMG Research". BMG Research. 2018-05-02. Retrieved 2018-05-02.
    7. "Henry Bolton elected UKIP leader". 29 September 2017 via www.bbc.co.uk.
    8. "Vince Cable is new Lib Dem leader". BBC News. 20 July 2017. Retrieved 20 July 2017.
    9. "Results of the 2017 General Election". BBC. Retrieved 10 June 2017.
    10. "Results of the 2017 General Election". BBC. Retrieved 10 June 2017.
    11. Revell, Timothy (9 June 2017). "How YouGov's experimental poll correctly called the UK election". New Scientist. Retrieved 9 June 2017.
    12. "Richard Leonard to lead Scottish Labour". BBC News. 2017-11-18. Retrieved 2017-11-18.
    13. "Results of the 2017 general election". BBC. Retrieved 10 June 2017.
    14. "Mark Drakeford confirmed as new Welsh first minister". 12 December 2018 via www.bbc.co.uk.
    15. "Plaid Cymru Leadership Contest: Adam Price wins". 28 September 2018 via www.bbc.co.uk.
    16. "Paul Davies wins Welsh Tory assembly group leadership poll". 6 September 2018 via www.bbc.co.uk.
    17. "Jane Dodds is new Welsh Liberal Democrat leader". 3 November 2017 via www.bbc.co.uk.
    18. "Results of the 2017 general election". BBC. Retrieved 10 June 2017.
    19. "Results of the 2017 General Election". BBC. Retrieved 10 June 2017.
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